Today's Home No Lose Predictions

More Predictions

BTTS

BTTS Predictions BTTS & Home Win Predictions BTTS & Away Win Predictions BTTS & No Draw Predictions

WDW

Home Win Predictions Away Win Predictions Draw Predictions Home No Lose Predictions Away No Lose Predictions Home Win & Over 2.5 Predictions Away Win & Over 2.5 Predictions Home Double Chance Predictions Away Double Chance Predictions

Goals Per Game

Over 1.5 Goals Predictions Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Cards Per Game

Over 2.5 Cards Predictions Over 3.5 Cards Predictions Over 4.5 Cards Predictions Over 5.5 Cards Predictions

 Show Value Bets

• Premier League (ENG)
• Championship (ENG)
• League One (ENG)
• League Two (ENG)
• National League (ENG)
• La Liga (ESP)
• La Liga 2 (ESP)
• Bundesliga (GER)
• Bundesliga 2 (GER)
• Serie A (ITA)
• Serie B (ITA)
• Eredivisie (NED)
• Eerste Divisie (NED)
• Premiership (SCO)
• Ligue 1 (FRA)
• Ligue 2 (FRA)
• Tipico Bundesliga (AUT)
• Pro League (BEL)
• Brasileiro Serie A (BRA)
• Parva Liga (BUL)
• Chinese Super League (CHN)
• HNL 1 (CRO)
• Fortuna Liga (CZE)
• Superliga (DEN)
• Super League (GRE)
• J-League (JPN)
• Eliteserien (NOR)
• Ekstraklasa (POL)
• Primeira Liga (POR)
• Liga 1 (ROU)
• Super League (SUI)
• Allsvenskan (SWE)
• Super Lig (TUR)

• ENG
• ESP
• GER
• ITA
• NED
• SCO
• FRA
• AUT
• BEL
• BRA
• BUL
• CHN
• CRO
• CZE
• DEN
• GRE
• JPN
• NOR
• POL
• POR
• ROU
• SUI
• SWE
• TUR

Team Name	Date	H/NL	Odds
Holstein Kiel Kaiserslautern	27 Apr 12:00	62%	1/4
Eintracht Braunschweig Hamburger SV	27 Apr 12:00	58%	7/10
Paderborn Elversberg	27 Apr 12:00	43%	7/20
Derby County Carlisle United	27 Apr 12:30	72%	1/50
Lincoln City Portsmouth	27 Apr 12:30	68%	2/7
Wycombe Wanderers Charlton Athletic	27 Apr 12:30	67%	4/11
Exeter City Oxford United	27 Apr 12:30	63%	6/5
Wigan Athletic Bristol Rovers	27 Apr 12:30	63%	3/10
Reading Blackpool	27 Apr 12:30	62%	3/4
Barnsley Northampton Town	27 Apr 12:30	60%	1/10
West Ham United Liverpool	27 Apr 12:30	58%	8/5
Peterborough United Bolton Wanderers	27 Apr 12:30	52%	4/7
Fleetwood Town Burton Albion	27 Apr 12:30	52%	8/13
Stevenage Cheltenham Town	27 Apr 12:30	52%	1/2
Port Vale Cambridge United	27 Apr 12:30	52%	4/11
Shrewsbury Town Leyton Orient	27 Apr 12:30	35%	4/9
Shanghai Port Shanghai Shenhua	27 Apr 12:35	58%	1/3
Parma Lecco	27 Apr 13:00	77%	1/16
Brescia Spezia	27 Apr 13:00	73%	2/5
Ternana Ascoli	27 Apr 13:00	67%	2/5

Showing 1 to 20 of 556 Results

Today's Home No Lose Tips

Today's top tips are a selection of games that we think are quite favorable. These are based on probability predictions with a range that we determine to be the most favorable in this market. They are calculated using our predictions algorithm, they're not sure Home No Lose tips that have been researched, so are to be used in support of your own betting research.

Team Name	League	Kick Off	H/NL
Paris Saint Germain Le Havre	Ligue 1 (FRA)	20:00	82%
Burgos Amorebieta	La Liga 2 (ESP)	15:15	78%
Norwich City Swansea City	Championship (ENG)	15:00	78%
Fenerbahce Besiktas	Super Lig (TUR)	17:00	77%
Parma Lecco	Serie B (ITA)	13:00	77%
Leganes Real Zaragoza	La Liga 2 (ESP)	15:15	75%
Hajduk Split Rudes	HNL 1 (CRO)	18:10	75%
Gillingham Doncaster Rovers	League Two (ENG)	15:00	75%
Botev Plovdiv Slavia Sofia	Parva Liga (BUL)	17:00	73%
Brescia Spezia	Serie B (ITA)	13:00	73%

About Home No Lose Predictions

This is not a no lose betting strategy where you are guaranteed to win like matched betting and arbitrage. These are teams that statistically lose fewer home games than their rivals meaning they either draw or win the majority of their games. 

When you couple that with teams that lose the vast majority of their games, you get fixtures that are balanced in favour of the no lose teams. This knowledge gives you an advantage over the standard 3 result betting markets, because you know the favoured team has a strong no lose probability 

How To Use No Lose Predictions

Some betting sites offer a no lose market, but the majority will label this as double chance bets. Even though it's one bet, so a single, the bet allows for the double chance outcome by winning if your selection either wins or draws.  

The odds on no lose scenarios are going to be very very short, so while the statistics offer more insight into the probability of the outcome, the value return is high risk because the reward can be quite low.

Probability models used to predict soccer games.

We have a collection of different prediction feeds that use different models that we combine with our own statistics and match profiling. They all in some respects use a selection of typical probability models like:

1. Poisson distribution: This model is used to predict the number of goals that each team will score in a league game, based on their scoring records over a set period of time. We're calculating the predicted outcome based on previous scores and what the expected future outcomes are likely to be.
2. Elo rating system: This model is based on a team's expected success and is somewhat like scoring them based on the current league position or their world ranking, versus that of their opponents. It's more commonly used to predict the full-time result of a game and tournaments and is often used where we predict win and lose outcomes.
3. Expected goals (xG): The quality of a team's scoring opportunities has become popular with fans and teams to calculate the likelihood of a team scoring based on attacking phases of play that typically end up in shooting opportunities. Its the measure of the probability of a shot resulting in a goal and is used in predictions to calculate final scores
4. Machine learning algorithms: AI obviously gets fed historical data to identify patterns and trends that can be used to predict the outcome of future matches, like using head to head data of specific teams, consistent league performances and so on. AI is naturally used in some of our models, but it will never account for the unpredictability of certain events occurring in games.