Today's Draw Predictions
Today's top predictions are a selection of games that we think are quite favorable. These are based on probability calculations with a range that we determine to be the most optimum in this market. They are calculated using our predictions algorithm, they're not tips that have been researched, so are to be used in support of your own betting research.
No recommended predictions in range for today.
About Draw Predictions
Listed on this page are the latest draw predictions from our full fixture database. We have fixtures from all the top leagues around the world and offer draw predictions on current league games.
We list the upcoming fixtures ordered by the prediction value percentage. You'll find what we believe to be the most likely draw in the draw column ordered from highest to lowest, and these include all the matches in our database. We also offer insight into the most unlikely draws if you order the draw predictions by lowest to highest first.
Draw Tips
We don't currently offer specific tips on our fixtures, as we use our data to profile the probability of results rather than highlighting specific football tips.
How to predict draw results
We use variations of probability systems to predict draws. We use models that capture similar scoring teams, teams that are both highly defensive with low scoring results, and those that predictably draw lots of games based on repetitive form.
Do bear in mind that football is highly volatile, so predictions are still guesses, but based on historical data. If you're interested in bet builders, check out our bet builder stats page for up-to-date league stats on each team.
Bet responsibly with draw predictions
If you have the confidence to bet on a draw, then good luck. There are some games that often predictably end in a stalemate – you have those "park the bus" teams that can grind it out on a regular basis, and teams on a poor run that need some kind of result to get them back in the mix. Yet they're still very difficult to spot, so we recommend using the predictions to support your own knowledge.
Predicting the outcome of a football match is not an exact science or math. Remember that unexpected factors come into play during a fixture, like injuries, red cards, and substitutions that can change the momentum of the game.
None of these scenarios can be modeled in probabilities and predictions. Therefore, it's important to approach football predictions with caution and respect the element of uncertainty in every game. If you're looking to test out a betting site with less risk to your own money with an offer, check out this list of free bets from our betting partners.
Probability models used to predict soccer games.
We have a collection of different prediction feeds that use different models that we combine with our own statistics and match profiling. They all in some respects use a selection of typical probability models like:
- Poisson distribution: This model is used to predict the number of goals that each team will score in a league game, based on their scoring records over a set period of time. We're calculating the predicted outcome based on previous scores and what the expected future outcomes are likely to be.
- Elo rating system: This model is based on a team's expected success and is somewhat like scoring them based on the current league position or their world ranking, versus that of their opponents. It's more commonly used to predict the full-time result of a game and tournaments and is often used where we predict win and lose outcomes.
- Expected goals (xG): The quality of a team's scoring opportunities has become popular with fans and teams to calculate the likelihood of a team scoring based on attacking phases of play that typically end up in shooting opportunities. Its the measure of the probability of a shot resulting in a goal and is used in predictions to calculate final scores
- Machine learning algorithms: AI obviously gets fed historical data to identify patterns and trends that can be used to predict the outcome of future matches, like using head to head data of specific teams, consistent league performances and so on. AI is naturally used in some of our models, but it will never account for the unpredictability of certain events occurring in games.